The 2026 Riviera Maya Open at Mayakoba is about to kick off, here are some of the odds to target and some of the odds to be skeptical of:
Odds to Target:
Nelly Korda: +185 – It is rare for me to target the clear cut betting favorite, especially with odds like +185, but there is just no reason to believe Korda isn’t going to win this event. A major championship title hangover is possible, but with three majors under her belt, it isn’t something I am too concerned about. Korda, the No. 1 player in the world playing arguably the best golf of her career, is the only player ranked in the top 15 in the world in this field. You won’t see an elite player in this level of field again this season. Take the easy pick.
Pajaree Anannarukarn: +6,500 – It has been a lot of feast or famine for Anannarukarn, one of the most underrated players on the LPGA Tour, this year. She has three missed cuts but also three top-20 finishes in seven events played. Though the consistency isn’t necessarily there, these odds are too juicy for a player with two wins and 17 top-10 finishes in her career. She is tied for the 18th best odds to win, but I view her as much more likely than that.
Natasha Andrea Oon: +12,500 – If you are looking for a sleeper pick, take a look at Oon. The rookie has made a big splash on the LPGA Tour thanks to her huge personality, and carries herself with a ton of confidence for a player so new to the biggest stage. She’s had some ups and downs, the JM Eagle is a real microcosm of her season, where she shot 66-78 to miss the cut. That being said, the flashes are there for a player who was dominant in college and on the Epson Tour.
Odds to be Skeptical of:
Maria José Marín: +3,500 – Really, nobody has terrible odds here. Outside of the top five or six players, this feels like a bit of a toss up as to who will be in contention. While Marín arguably has the second most momentum heading into this week, behind Nelly Korda, I am still skeptical of an amateur in the top-10 for best odds to win. She is a gritty player who can survive off incredible short game play, but I’m not sure a win is in the cards for her yet.
Olivia Cowan: +5,000 – While Cowan has shown some flashes of good play on the Ladies European Tour, it has never really translated into success on the LPGA. After some promising moments in 2023, where she made 9/10 cuts and had two top-10 finishes, Cowan has made just a bit over half of her next 31 cuts and has just one top-10 finish in that time to show for it. Against a weaker field in this event, she has a reasonable chance to compete, but at tied for the 13th best odds, there is better value elsewhere.
Sarah Kemp: +6,000 – Sarah Kemp is a popular, experienced player with 13 career top-10 finishes, so it makes sense why oddsmakers come in at this level. That being said, Kemp has shown little form on the LPGA Tour since her devastating leg injury a couple years ago. She made just four cuts in 2025 and didn’t finish better than 50th in any of them. She has had a few recent top-10 finishes on the LET, so it would be irresponsible to say she doesn’t have any chance, but it is tough to see her pulling out a win with players like Korda and the Iwai twins in the field.
About the Author
